Welcome to the Rockies vs. Connor newsletter, a hopefully weekly discussion on the Rockies, their affiliates, their tidings and misgivings, and anything else we’d like to discuss. If you’re finding this on a social site or this was forwarded to you by a friend/family member, please take some time to subscribe and receive this in your inbox. If you got this in your email, please share! Follow me on Bluesky using the button below.

Bum or Legend?

We have reached about 30% of the way through the season as we awake this fine Friday morning, a 30% that can be equally described as “really putrid” and also “not as bad as it could be” for the Rockies. As we learned last year, it really could be worse! And 100 losses this season may still be in the cards but at least there are far fewer articles about how bad they are.

With all of that being said, as we continue to traverse the environment of an “evaluation” year for the new front office, it’s time to ask the question Have We Seen Enough? with a few of the guys struggling. I’ve brought up three players that are just not having a good time so far and I ask us all to think, have we seen enough?

Jordan Beck

Beck came into 2026 in a tough spot. He was mediocre to decent last season as a right handed corner bat and it wasn’t crazy to envision a jump in production for the young outfielder. It hasn’t gone according to that dream at all though. Beck’s slashing .197/.226/.295 and has already been relegated to the weak side of a platoon with Jake McCarthy/Troy Johnston/Mickey Moniak. Really, all that’s keeping Beck up for now I think is that he is right handed and the two outfielders on the 40 behind him are left handed. Not for nothing, Beck has excelled in his platoon setting. He’s posting an OPS 700 points higher (.891 vs. .187) against lefties and showing a much better ability to drive the ball. If the Rockies were contending at all, I wouldn’t put up too much of a fuss at them carrying Beck as a good counter to lefty relievers late in games for their better left handed hitters like Moniak.

But they aren’t contending, they’re ~evaluating~ so we have to ask if we’ve seen enough to know if Beck is cooked. Which is…tough to say. I think, for me, overloading the outfield with four left handed hitters and one righty is fine, you’re not trying to win per se, you’re trying to see who in the organization right now can help you win in a few years. You want to see if Zac Veen or Sterlin Thompson can cut it in the major leagues. But it’s not a crazy question to ask if this puts some of these guys in a tougher role and drives down value in other ways. Moniak and McCarthy should be trade candidates come July. Now, every team has the ability to sort by splits and know those two are better in a platoon, but you wouldn’t want to hurt yourself when you come to the table and suddenly Moniak’s 800 OPS is 720 because he can’t avoid lefty PAs anymore. Point is here, there’s risk even if you take caring about Wins and Losses off the table. But, that risk is lower.

Ultimately, it makes sense to get Beck out of the lineup just to fully see what you have in Veen and Thompson. I’ve Seen Enough.

Ezequiel Tovar

Ohhhh boy.

Zeke Tovar is currently in year three of an eight year extension he signed with the club back in 2024. The last year is a club option so it really could be a seven year contract buuuut you’ve got the expensive guaranteed years coming up. He’s guaranteed 8m next year, 11m in 2028, 14m in 2029, and 16m in 2030. That’s 50m locked into a guy currently hitting at a level that the World Health Organization has classified as “Class Three Stinky”.

Tovar’s 2025 you could chalk up to injuries derailing any sense of consistent playing time. But this year, there is no such excuse. He’s got a .511 OPS which looks even worse when you remember he plays in Coors Field a lot, his defensive range hasn’t kept up this year or so the metrics say, and his strikeout levels are still on the upper edge of “concerning”. In Tovar’s favor is a career low BABIP, especially on line drives and fly balls. He’s just not quite getting into the gap or over the fence. But that’s not to say if those things were flying better he’d be “GOOD” he’d just be back to the OK version of Tovar that we saw in 2024. The hope around Ezequiel wasn’t that 2024 was his peak, it was that it was the start of something. It hasn’t started anything except questions and worries about how much of that 50 million dollars is going to go to a player that won’t play for the team anymore.

Helping Tovar is the fact the Rockies don’t really have a replacement on hand, at least one that you can argue is better than him. Perhaps, when Ryan Ritter returns you can consider giving him some run at the six to see but outside of that there isn’t anyone really ready to take this over. Tovar will get plenty of rope to work with however he sees fit, pulling himself up or wrapping it around himself. Combine that with some slight progression to the mean on the slugging side and maybe you can get him out of the negative WAR zone.

I think the main driver of concern here isn’t that Tovar is struggling, it’s that lingering thought that 2024 could’ve been his peak. He could be destined for a 2 WAR season. Maybe this is the floor, surely it is, but what is the ceiling?

I Haven’t Seen Enough yet, but that might be more out of the context in the Rockies situation than my actual belief in Tovar. This is a spot where I don’t mind playing him until he proves he’s never going to come back from this. What else is there to do, you’re not going to be good enough for this to matter.

Zach Agnos

The man who looks like he opened a Greek restaurant in your town recently has always looked like he should be better but he never is. He hasn’t shown a thing at the Major League level I would be necessarily excited about except that burly mustache.

you’ve gotta try our souvlaki

Agnos has stuff that seems to be deceptive and he gets whiffs at pretty high rate. His slider and his change up specifically are driving swing and miss at elite rates. But, despite that, he’s getting slammed. His fastball is one of the rare fastballs for the Rockies that hasn’t improved under the new regime. Combine Agnos’s struggles with some exciting bullpen arms in Albuquerque (Halvorsen, Herrera, Palmquist, etc) and I’m not sure I can argue we haven’t seen enough. So long as his anchor fastball is getting crushed, it’s tough to find a role for Zach. I’ve Seen Enough

Connor’s Guys Update, an update on Connor’s Guys in the Minors

Connor’s Guys will be an update on the Guys I want to follow through the Rockies minor league system. This won’t necessarily be the best prospects, don’t expect a top-100 guy here, but guys I find interesting. Every now and then we’ll add a new guy when I spot someone putting up an interesting line or having a unique profile to look into

Player

Last Week

Last 28 days

Konner Eaton

4.2 IP, 5 ER, 3 K, 1 BB

19 1/3 IP, 3.72 ERA, 15 Ks, 11 BB

Andy Perez

.550/.550/.650 HR, 2 2B

.395/.422/.535 6 2B, 2 HR, 4 SB

JB Middleton

ON the IL

20 IP, 4.95 ERA, 18 Ks, 13 BB

Jordy Vargas

4 IP, 1 ER, 5 Ks, 1 BB

18 IP, 5.00 ERA, 20 Ks, 14 BB

Max Belyeu

.273/.385/.364, 1 2B

.169/.269/.339 2 HR, 2 2B, 1 3B

Eaton’s bad week rests in coughing up three dingers to Portland, outside those three bad pitches, he was controlled and solid.

Andy Perez has been one of the more exciting hitters in AA and really the Rockies system in general. His .894 OPS leads the Yard Goats regulars. He could be a certified Connor’s Guy Gem!

Max Belyeu…..stop striking out please….

like, share, subscribe

Keep Reading